China CoupAuthor :
Hardback
Published : Tuesday 4 May 2021
Description
An expertâ?Ts take on how a coup in China could launch a transition to democracy. This short book predictsâ?"contrary to the prevailing consensusâ?"that Chinaâ?Ts leader Xi Jinping will very soon be removed from office in a coup dâ?TActat mounted by rivals in the top leadership. The leaders of the coup will then end Chinaâ?Ts one-party dictatorship and launch a transition to democracy and the rule of law. Long-time diplomat and development banker Roger Garside draws on his deep knowledge of Chinese politics and economics first to develop a detailed scenario of how these events may unfold, and thenâ?"in the main body of the bookâ?"to explain why.A HisA gripping, persuasive account of how Chinese leaders plot and plan away from the public eye is unique in published literature.A Garside argues that under Xiâ?Ts overconfident leadership, China is on a collision course with an America that is newly awakened out of complacency. As Xiâ?Ts rivals look abroad, they are alarmed that he is blind to the reactions that Chinaâ?Ts actions have provoked from the worldâ?Ts strongest power and its allies. In domestic affairs, Xiâ?Ts rivals recognize that economic and social change without political reform have created problems that require not just new leaders but a new system of government. Security abroad and stability at home demand a revolution to which Xi is implacably opposed. To save Chinaâ?"and themselvesâ?"from catastrophe, they must remove him and end the dictatorship he is determined to defend. But their will and capacity to do so depend crucially on how liberal democracies act.A Garsideâ?Ts scenario shows America leading its allies in creating the conditions in which Xiâ?Ts rivalsA move against him.
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